Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 365.288392 415.002022 470.408239 536.991615 615.168667 704.449535 814.703262
2025-09-07 291.132308 356.011793 435.051107 539.461937 675.306686 848.209205 1088.413549
2025-09-14 245.043539 314.059777 403.117372 528.384908 703.176271 943.227855 1306.457125
2025-09-21 216.076865 287.467982 383.941826 526.787633 738.080918 1047.694090 1552.528792
2025-09-28 187.768204 257.173622 354.422629 504.424280 737.031569 1096.584282 1720.963803
2025-10-05 176.842021 249.393908 354.848500 524.476440 800.780552 1252.751138 2092.973889
2025-10-12 168.693197 244.367295 358.148014 548.495987 873.373646 1434.658464 2550.691041
2025-10-19 157.092731 232.694303 349.631799 551.869943 911.147354 1562.139557 2936.297052
2025-10-26 143.708288 216.832699 332.634623 538.576240 917.093852 1631.652382 3221.135830
2025-11-02 132.894608 204.010910 319.155761 529.422816 928.699561 1713.035256 3550.283129
2025-11-09 127.620435 199.664753 319.196856 544.000824 986.821394 1897.010647 4160.703928
2025-11-16 119.967571 190.648908 310.316151 540.980472 1009.620968 2010.912831 4634.418371
2025-11-23 111.869811 180.413489 298.699660 532.102983 1020.607618 2104.351060 5093.847985
2025-11-30 106.181551 173.912474 293.181037 534.468154 1055.870841 2260.941469 5780.012694
2025-12-07 99.236052 164.621488 281.697290 523.517112 1060.279811 2344.744306 6284.808759
2025-12-14 94.174762 158.317033 275.191381 521.937244 1085.479990 2485.375399 7016.556853
2025-12-21 87.045294 147.727424 259.688988 499.818978 1059.720189 2489.179271 7304.638868
2025-12-28 85.449269 147.252429 263.610633 519.651483 1137.258336 2787.265986 8732.912459
2026-01-04 84.320930 147.549725 269.036952 543.405755 1228.639392 3147.728185 10575.516057
2026-01-11 81.112308 143.615553 265.607739 546.742263 1268.294151 3366.276721 11971.151831
2026-01-18 76.528154 136.698844 255.530734 533.595843 1262.241518 3442.765628 12800.403346
2026-01-25 72.673935 130.982773 247.529025 524.543421 1266.133516 3552.862162 13846.255032
2026-02-01 71.199666 129.909825 249.209733 538.960412 1338.096084 3908.334170 16297.109005